From probabilistic forecasts to statistical scenarios of short-term wind power production
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Generating Short-Term Probabilistic Wind Power Scenarios via Non-Parametric Forecast Error Density Estimators
Forecasts of available wind power are critical in key electric power systems operations planning problems, including economic dispatch and unit commitment. Such forecasts are necessarily uncertain, limiting the reliability and costeffectiveness of operations planning models based on a single deterministic or “point” forecast. A common approach to address this limitation involves the use of a nu...
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Forecasts of wind power production are increasingly being used in various management tasks. So far, such forecasts and related uncertainty information have usually been generated individually for a given site of interest (either a wind farm or a group of wind farms), without properly accounting for the spatio-temporal dependencies observed in the wind generation field. However, it is intuitivel...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Wind Energy
سال: 2009
ISSN: 1095-4244,1099-1824
DOI: 10.1002/we.284